chore: retire legacy oil prediction pipeline
Removes everything that was made redundant by the new forecasting stack. Per docs/superpowers/specs/2026-05-01-prediction-rebuild-design.md, this was the cleanup planned at the end of Phase 4. Deleted services and code: - App\Services\Prediction\Signals\* (the old six-signal aggregator — trend, supermarket, day-of-week, brand-behaviour, stickiness, regional-momentum, oil — replaced by RidgeRegressionModel). - App\Services\NationalFuelPredictionService (the post-Phase-4 thin shim; StationSearchService now depends on WeeklyForecastService directly, set up in the previous commit). - App\Services\LlmPrediction\* (AbstractLlmPredictionProvider plus the four provider implementations — Anthropic, OpenAI, Gemini, and the OilPredictionProvider router. Replaced by LlmOverlayService). - App\Services\BrentPricePredictor and App\Services\Ewma. The Ewma helper had no callers left after BrentPricePredictor went. - App\Models\PricePrediction and its factory. - App\Console\Commands\PredictOilPrices (the oil:predict command). - App\Filament\Resources\OilPredictionResource and its Pages. Schema and dashboard: - Drop the price_predictions table via a new migration. - Repoint the Filament StatsOverviewWidget tile from PricePrediction to WeeklyForecast so the dashboard reflects the new pipeline. - Remove the OilPredictionProvider binding from AppServiceProvider. Test cleanup: - Delete tests for every retired service. - Update StatsOverviewWidgetTest to seed weekly_forecasts instead of price_predictions. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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@@ -1,27 +0,0 @@
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<?php
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use App\Filament\Resources\OilPredictionResource\Pages\ListOilPredictions;
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use App\Models\PricePrediction;
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use App\Models\User;
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use Illuminate\Foundation\Testing\RefreshDatabase;
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use Livewire\Livewire;
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uses(RefreshDatabase::class);
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beforeEach(function () {
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$this->admin = User::factory()->admin()->create();
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$this->actingAs($this->admin);
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});
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it('renders the oil prediction list', function () {
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$predictions = PricePrediction::factory()->count(3)->create();
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Livewire::test(ListOilPredictions::class)
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->assertOk()
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->assertCanSeeTableRecords($predictions);
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});
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it('has a run prediction header action', function () {
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Livewire::test(ListOilPredictions::class)
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->assertActionExists('runPrediction');
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});
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@@ -2,10 +2,11 @@
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use App\Filament\Widgets\StatsOverviewWidget;
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use App\Models\ApiLog;
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use App\Models\PricePrediction;
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use App\Models\Station;
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use App\Models\User;
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use Carbon\Carbon;
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use Illuminate\Foundation\Testing\RefreshDatabase;
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use Illuminate\Support\Facades\DB;
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use Livewire\Livewire;
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uses(RefreshDatabase::class);
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@@ -18,7 +19,20 @@ beforeEach(function () {
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it('renders the stats overview widget', function () {
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User::factory()->count(3)->create();
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Station::factory()->count(2)->create();
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PricePrediction::factory()->create(['generated_at' => now()->subHours(2)]);
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DB::table('weekly_forecasts')->insert([
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'forecast_for' => now()->next(Carbon::MONDAY)->toDateString(),
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'model_version' => 'ridge-v1-test',
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'direction' => 'rising',
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'magnitude_pence' => 80,
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'ridge_confidence' => 65,
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'flagged_duty_change' => false,
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'reasoning' => 'test',
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'generated_at' => now()->subHours(2),
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'created_at' => now(),
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'updated_at' => now(),
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]);
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ApiLog::factory()->count(2)->create(['status_code' => 200, 'error' => null, 'created_at' => now()->subMinutes(30)]);
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Livewire::test(StatsOverviewWidget::class)
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